Oh Andrea, what have you done? #ONpoli

Andrea Horwath has finally run out of gas with her “I’ll have it both ways” act at Queen’s Park. The likeable Ms Horwath, leader of the NDP, has also been the least believable person at the lectern for many months. She hates the way the Liberals are governing, but by George there will be no election to replace them. No, no. Better to somehow or other try to defy gravity. Today a freshly released Ipsos Reid poll commissioned by the Bell Media assets reveals that substantial support has fled from the NDP leader to the Conservatives, and in small measure to the Liberals. If an election were held today, says Ipsos Reid,  the PCs would win a majority. Frankly, that seems a chancy declaration but it can happen.  In 2011, the Liberals won 37.7 per cent of the ballots but obtained only a minority. So the votes on the move are independent, somewhat to the left perhaps, who previously didn’t like either of the larger parties.The latest poll of Ontario voters suggests if there’s an election this spring it will be a very tight race. Previously, a anos Research showed Liberals and PCs tied at 36. the has released a survey showing the Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives tied at 36%. The NDP was at 22%. In March, the Liberals held a three-point lead. Nanos suggested a polarization of voters might be taking place but the Ipsos poll may suggest a trend.