Fearful outlook unless and until Ontario has herd immunity

Fearful predictions of a raging C-19 wave three are being heard locally. One epidemiologist speculating about just how bad it might get is Colin Furness of the University of Toronto. He is quoted by CTV as saying the decision to increase indoor dining occupancy as infections continue to rise amounts to “asking to be clobbered.” “We’re going to have a very difficult April and a very difficult May,” he is quoted as saying.

Herd immunity the goal

The variables are human behavior and as Mr. Furness says on his Twitter account, the nature of vaccination. He points out that getting this form of protection does not mean you can’t be a Covid carrier. In order to slow down the spread of C-19, it will be necessary to vaccinate enough people to achieve so-called herd immunity. That’s a state where only a relative few remain without protection. For C-19, doctors estimate that about 40% to 50% of the human population would need to have antibodies in order to have herd immunity.

GTA hotspots continue to boil

Numbers released Sunday show 1,791 new cases found in the previous 24-hours. The majority were found in the GTA. Toronto reported 495 new cases, Peel 350, York 177 and Durham 106. There were 49,200 tests completed.